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Neuro-Symbolic-Causal AI - Project Chimera | 🌌 An open research project exploring formal verification of AI agent decisions, combining symbolic reasoning, causal inference, and runtime policy enforcement.
A complete end-to-end AI experimentation & causal inference project using A/B testing, X-Learner, CATE estimation, and uplift segmentation on 1.5M+ synthetic SaaS behavioral records. Includes statistical analysis, causal ML workflow, uplift modeling, feature importance, and business-ready insights for AI feature rollout & monetization.
Causal Forest DML analysis of racial approval penalties in U.S. mortgage lending | 42M HMDA applications, 2020-2024 | Under review at Journal of Financial Services Research
Causal ML pipeline for e-commerce dynamic pricing — Double Machine Learning for unbiased price elasticity, LightGBM demand forecasting (MAPE=0.418, R²=0.055), and a FastAPI pricing service delivering +30% revenue lift across 49,677 SKUs from 32M+ transactions.
A modular Python benchmark for uplift modeling on the Criteo dataset, comparing S-Learner, T-Learner, X-Learner, DR-Learner, Causal Forest, and response-model targeting policies.
Estimates whether an intervention actually caused an outcome, from observational data: propensity matching, IPW, S/T/X-learners, DiD and IV. Then tries to break its own result with refutation tests and an E-value — and reports "no effect" when that is the honest answer.
End-to-end causal inference study estimating the effect of smoking cessation on substantial weight gain using propensity methods, DoWhy, and doubly robust EconML estimators.
An end-to-end causal inference project estimating who actually responds to a marketing discount, not just whether it works on average. Uses Double Machine Learning and Causal Forests (EconML) on the Starbucks promotional dataset, validated first on synthetic data with known ground truth.
Causal inference analysis of ICU beta-blocker treatment effects using propensity matching, IPW, doubly robust estimation, Double ML, and Causal Forest on eICU data
Does swapping EconML's auto first stage for CatBoost improve CATE in Double Machine Learning? Same CausalForestDML second stage across 13 datasets, paired Wilcoxon. Auto wins PEHE on 7 of 13; tuned CatBoost wins on smooth DGPs.
End-to-end uplift modeling pipeline on the Criteo dataset. Compares T/S/X-Learner and Causal Forest to estimate heterogeneous treatment effects for budget-constrained marketing targeting.
Causal inference for promotional targeting: who should receive the email? Five CATE estimators evaluated by Qini & SNIPS policy value on Hillstrom 2008.
Causal inference on Yelp reviews using Double Machine Learning to estimate the effect of star ratings, review length, and Elite badge status on useful votes.