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Greenwood

Modern survival analysis for Python: Narwhals-native, R-validated, beautifully visualized.

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What is Greenwood?

Greenwood is a Python library for survival analysis, the statistical study of time-to-event outcomes. Greenwood gives you lots of powerful features for extracting insights from incomplete data where some observations are censored (i.e., we don't know if the event happened yet).

Why Greenwood?

  • it works with your dataframe library: Pandas, Polars, PyArrow, or anything supported by Narwhals
  • it is rigorously validated, where every statistic is tested to tolerance against R's gold-standard survival package
  • you get beautiful, interactive survival visualizations, with a choice of plotting backends so you can use whichever you prefer
  • you also get publication-ready tables through integration with the Great Tables library
  • batteries are included: from simple Kaplan-Meier curves to Cox proportional hazards, competing risks, and beyond

What's included

Descriptive statistics:

  • Surv response object: Handle right-, left-, and interval-censored data; counting-process form; left truncation; weights; and multi-state endpoints with built-in validation.
  • Kaplan-Meier estimation (KaplanMeier): Survival curves with Greenwood confidence intervals, median/quantile survival, restricted mean survival time, and step-function predictions.
  • Nelson-Aalen estimator (NelsonAalen): Cumulative hazard curves.
  • Visualization (plot_survival(), plot_forest(), plot_cif()): Interactive survival curves with confidence bands and censoring marks, publication-ready forest plots with aligned at-risk tables, and cumulative incidence plots for competing risks (all with a choice of plotting backends and Great Tables integration).

Hypothesis testing:

  • Log-rank tests (logrank_test(), pairwise_logrank_test()): Standard log-rank test and the G-rho (Fleming-Harrington) family for 2+ groups with p-value adjustment for multiple comparisons.
  • Linear trend tests (trend_test()): Test for linear trends across ordered groups with support for Fleming-Harrington weights and stratification.
  • RMST comparisons (rmst_test(), pairwise_rmst_test(), rmst_diff()): Restricted mean survival time hypothesis tests, pairwise comparisons, and difference estimation.

Regression models:

  • Cox proportional hazards (CoxPH): Model covariates as hazard ratios with stratification, robust sandwich variance, clustering, baseline hazard prediction with confidence intervals, shared gamma and log-normal frailty by cluster with frailty-variance LR testing, and model diagnostics (residuals, proportional-hazards test, concordance).
  • Penalized Cox (CoxNet, cv_coxnet()): Elastic-net regularized Cox regression (lasso, ridge, and the full elastic-net continuum) with cross-validated penalty selection — for high-dimensional covariate settings or automatic variable selection.
  • Accelerated failure time (AFT): Parametric models (Weibull, exponential, log-normal, log-logistic) with survival prediction confidence intervals, validated against R's survreg.
  • Flexible parametric models (RoystonParmar): Spline-based proportional-hazards model that fits smooth baseline hazard shapes — more flexible than Weibull while preserving interpretable covariate effects.
  • Competing risks: Cumulative incidence functions (AalenJohansen), subdistribution hazards (FineGray), and multi-state transition probabilities (MultiState).

Distribution fitting:

  • Univariate parametric fitting (Parametric): Fit Weibull, exponential, log-normal, or log-logistic distributions to censored data by MLE, with AIC/BIC for model selection.
  • Distribution comparison (compare_distributions()): Rank all parametric families side-by-side by log-likelihood, AIC, and BIC in a single call.

Model performance:

  • Prediction metrics: Concordance index (Harrell's C), IPCW Brier score / integrated Brier score, time-dependent AUC (time_dependent_auc(), integrated_auc()), and calibration assessment (calibration()).
  • Cross-validation (cross_validate()): K-fold cross-validation with stratification support for balanced outcome distributions.

Study design:

  • Power analysis (logrank_n_events(), logrank_power(), logrank_sample_size()): Compute required events, achievable power, and total enrollment for log-rank test designs under the proportional-hazards assumption.

Tidy & reproducible:

  • Tidy layer (tidy(), glance(), augment()): Broom-compatible summaries — coefficient tables, model-level statistics, and observation-level augmentation — aligned with Great Summaries for consistent reporting.
  • Built-in datasets (lung, veteran, ovarian, pbc, colon, mgus2) and R-parity test harness: Every statistic is validated to tolerance against R's survival package.

Get started

Here's a simple example that loads survival data, estimates a survival curve, and visualizes it.

import greenwood as gw

# Load the data and represent it as a survival object
lung = gw.load_dataset("lung", backend="polars")
y = gw.Surv.right(lung["time"], event=(lung["status"] == 2))

# Estimate the Kaplan-Meier survival curve
km = gw.KaplanMeier().fit(y)

# Visualize it
gw.plot_survival(km)

# Fit a Cox proportional hazards model
cox = gw.CoxPH().fit(y, lung[["age", "sex"]])

That's it! See the user guide for more details on each step, and scroll down for a comprehensive example covering more of Greenwood's capabilities.

See more

Here's a comprehensive example showcasing more of Greenwood's capabilities:

import greenwood as gw

df = gw.load_dataset("lung", backend="polars")
y = gw.Surv.right(df["time"], event=(df["status"] == 2))

# Kaplan-Meier with stratification and detailed summaries
km = gw.KaplanMeier(conf_type="log-log").fit(y, by=df["sex"])
km.to_frame(format="polars")  # tidy: strata, time, n_risk, n_event, estimate, conf_low, conf_high
km.median(ci=True)         # median survival with confidence limits, per stratum
km.rmst(365, ci=True)      # restricted mean survival time up to 365 days
km.predict([180, 365])     # survival probability at specific times

# Statistical tests
gw.logrank_test(y, group=df["sex"])          # standard log-rank test
gw.logrank_test(y, group=df["sex"], rho=1)   # Peto-Peto (G-rho) test

# Visualization with risk tables
gw.plot_survival(km, risk_table=True)

# Cox proportional hazards regression
cox = gw.CoxPH().fit(y, df[["age", "sex"]])
gw.tidy(cox, exponentiate=True, format="polars")  # hazard ratios with confidence intervals
gw.glance(cox, format="polars")              # model-level stats (loglik, AIC, concordance)
cox.cox_zph()                                # proportional-hazards test
cox.concordance()                            # C-statistic
cox.predict(df[["age", "sex"]].head(), type="survival", times=[180, 365], format="polars")

# Penalized Cox: elastic-net with cross-validated lambda
coxnet = gw.CoxNet(l1_ratio=1.0).fit(y, df[["age", "sex", "ph.ecog", "wt.loss"]].drop_nulls())
cv_result = gw.cv_coxnet(y, df[["age", "sex", "ph.ecog", "wt.loss"]].drop_nulls())
cv_result.lambda_min   # penalty that minimizes cross-validated partial likelihood

# Flexible parametric model (spline-based, proportional hazards)
rp = gw.RoystonParmar(df=3).fit(y, df[["age", "sex"]])
gw.tidy(rp, format="polars")

# Parametric accelerated failure time models
aft = gw.AFT("weibull").fit(y, df[["age", "sex"]])
gw.tidy(aft, format="polars")           # coefficients on the log-time scale

# Univariate distribution fitting and comparison
gw.compare_distributions(y, format="polars")   # rank Weibull / exponential / lognormal / loglogistic by AIC

# Study design: events and sample size for an 80% powered log-rank test
gw.logrank_n_events(hazard_ratio=0.7)          # events needed
gw.logrank_sample_size(hazard_ratio=0.7, event_prob=0.6)  # total enrollment

# Competing risks: cumulative incidence per cause
# (mgus2 loaded with Pandas here for the Series `.where` construction below)
mg = gw.load_dataset("mgus2", backend="pandas")
etime = mg["ptime"].where(mg["pstat"] == 1, mg["futime"])
cause = mg["pstat"].where(mg["pstat"] == 1, 2 * mg["death"])
cr = gw.Surv.multistate(etime, event=cause, states=("pcm", "death"))
gw.AalenJohansen().fit(cr).to_frame(format="polars")
gw.FineGray("pcm").fit(cr, mg[["age", "sex"]]).to_frame(format="polars")

# Model performance and prediction
gw.concordance_index(y, cox.predict(type="lp"))
S = cox.predict(df[["age", "sex"]], type="survival", times=[180, 365], format="pandas").iloc[:, 1:].to_numpy().T
gw.brier_score(y, S, times=[180, 365])
gw.time_dependent_auc(y, cox.predict(type="lp"), times=[180, 365])

License

MIT (c) Richard Iannone. See the LICENSE file.

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