feat: arm live trading + daily sports scoreboard + Coinbase scaffold

client/src/components/CommandPalette.tsx

@@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ export function CommandPalette() {
           </CommandItem>
           <CommandItem
             value="Fund deposit balance"
-            onSelect={() => handleNavigate("/funding")}
+            onSelect={() => handleNavigate("/connect")}
           >
             <Wallet className="mr-2 h-4 w-4 opacity-70" />
             Fund account

client/src/components/widgets/DailyPlayScoreboard.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,295 @@
+import React from "react";
+import { Trophy, TrendingDown, Clock, MinusCircle } from "lucide-react";
+import { trpc } from "@/lib/trpc";
+import { cn } from "@/lib/utils";
+
+/**
+ * Daily-pick Scoreboard widget.
+ *
+ * Renders the bot's win/loss record on its daily sports + moonshot picks
+ * across both Kalshi and Polymarket.  Two modes:
+ *
+ *   compact (Dashboard.tsx):  3-row card — today's picks, last 30d split,
+ *                             lifetime tally.
+ *   full (Performance.tsx):   compact + per-platform breakdown table.
+ */
+interface DailyPlayScoreboardProps {
+  compact?: boolean;
+  className?: string;
+}
+
+interface PlatformRollup {
+  wins: number;
+  losses: number;
+  pending: number;
+  picks: number;
+  totalStaked: number;
+  totalPnl: number;
+}
+
+function formatPnl(v: number): string {
+  const sign = v > 0 ? "+" : v < 0 ? "−" : "";
+  return `${sign}$${Math.abs(v).toFixed(2)}`;
+}
+
+function formatPct(v: number): string {
+  return `${(v * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
+}
+
+function StatusBadge({ status }: { status: string }) {
+  const map: Record<string, { label: string; cls: string; Icon: typeof Trophy }> = {
+    pending: { label: "Open", cls: "bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300", Icon: Clock },
+    won: { label: "Won", cls: "bg-green-500/20 text-green-300", Icon: Trophy },
+    lost: { label: "Lost", cls: "bg-red-500/20 text-red-300", Icon: TrendingDown },
+    closed_breakeven: {
+      label: "Even",
+      cls: "bg-zinc-500/20 text-zinc-300",
+      Icon: MinusCircle,
+    },
+    partial: { label: "Partial", cls: "bg-amber-500/20 text-amber-300", Icon: Clock },
+    voided: { label: "Voided", cls: "bg-zinc-700/40 text-zinc-400", Icon: MinusCircle },
+  };
+  const e = map[status] ?? map.pending;
+  const Icon = e.Icon;
+  return (
+    <span
+      className={cn(
+        "inline-flex items-center gap-1 rounded-md px-2 py-0.5 text-xs font-medium",
+        e.cls,
+      )}
+    >
+      <Icon size={12} />
+      {e.label}
+    </span>
+  );
+}
+
+interface ChipPick {
+  marketId: string;
+  side: string;
+  stakeUsd: number;
+  status: string;
+  confidence: number | null;
+  realizedPnl?: number | null;
+}
+
+function PlatformChip({
+  label,
+  pick,
+}: {
+  label: string;
+  pick: ChipPick | null;
+}) {
+  if (!pick) {
+    return (
+      <div className="flex flex-col gap-1 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
+        <div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
+        <div className="text-sm text-muted-foreground italic">No play yet today</div>
+      </div>
+    );
+  }
+  const truncated = pick.marketId.slice(0, 40);
+  return (
+    <div className="flex flex-col gap-1 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
+      <div className="flex items-center justify-between">
+        <div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
+        <StatusBadge status={pick.status} />
+      </div>
+      <div className="text-sm font-medium" title={pick.marketId}>
+        {truncated}
+      </div>
+      <div className="text-xs text-muted-foreground">
+        {pick.side.toUpperCase()} · ${pick.stakeUsd.toFixed(2)}
+        {pick.confidence != null && ` · ${formatPct(pick.confidence)}`}
+        {pick.realizedPnl != null && pick.status !== "pending" && (
+          <span className={pick.realizedPnl >= 0 ? "text-green-300" : "text-red-300"}>
+            {" · "}
+            {formatPnl(pick.realizedPnl)}
+          </span>
+        )}
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  );
+}
+
+function RollupCell({ label, rollup }: { label: string; rollup: PlatformRollup }) {
+  return (
+    <div className="flex flex-col items-start">
+      <div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
+      <div className="text-sm font-medium">
+        <span className="text-green-300">{rollup.wins}W</span>
+        <span className="text-muted-foreground"> · </span>
+        <span className="text-red-300">{rollup.losses}L</span>
+        {rollup.pending > 0 && (
+          <>
+            <span className="text-muted-foreground"> · </span>
+            <span className="text-blue-300">{rollup.pending}P</span>
+          </>
+        )}
+      </div>
+      <div
+        className={cn(
+          "text-xs",
+          rollup.totalPnl > 0
+            ? "text-green-300"
+            : rollup.totalPnl < 0
+              ? "text-red-300"
+              : "text-muted-foreground",
+        )}
+      >
+        {formatPnl(rollup.totalPnl)}
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  );
+}
+
+export function DailyPlayScoreboard({ compact = false, className }: DailyPlayScoreboardProps) {
+  const scoreboardQuery = trpc.daily.getDailyPlayScoreboard.useQuery({
+    platform: "both",
+    daysBack: 30,
+  });
+
+  if (scoreboardQuery.isLoading || !scoreboardQuery.data) {
+    return (
+      <div className={cn("data-card", className)}>
+        <div className="h-4 w-32 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5 mb-3" />
+        <div className="h-12 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5 mb-3" />
+        <div className="h-4 w-24 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5" />
+      </div>
+    );
+  }
+
+  const { today, days, lifetime } = scoreboardQuery.data;
+  // Compute the 30-day combined rollup from days[]
+  const last30 = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
+    (acc, d) => ({
+      wins: acc.wins + d.combined.wins,
+      losses: acc.losses + d.combined.losses,
+      pending: acc.pending + d.combined.pending,
+      picks: acc.picks + d.combined.picks,
+      totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.combined.totalStaked,
+      totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.combined.totalPnl,
+    }),
+    { wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
+  );
+  const last30Kalshi = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
+    (acc, d) => ({
+      wins: acc.wins + d.kalshi.wins,
+      losses: acc.losses + d.kalshi.losses,
+      pending: acc.pending + d.kalshi.pending,
+      picks: acc.picks + d.kalshi.picks,
+      totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.kalshi.totalStaked,
+      totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.kalshi.totalPnl,
+    }),
+    { wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
+  );
+  const last30Poly = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
+    (acc, d) => ({
+      wins: acc.wins + d.polymarket.wins,
+      losses: acc.losses + d.polymarket.losses,
+      pending: acc.pending + d.polymarket.pending,
+      picks: acc.picks + d.polymarket.picks,
+      totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.polymarket.totalStaked,
+      totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.polymarket.totalPnl,
+    }),
+    { wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
+  );
+
+  return (
+    <div className={cn("data-card flex flex-col gap-4", className)}>
+      <div className="flex items-center justify-between">
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-2">
+          <Trophy size={16} className="text-amber-400" />
+          <h3 className="text-sm font-semibold">Daily Pick Scoreboard</h3>
+        </div>
+        <div className="text-xs text-muted-foreground">
+          Bot's daily sports/moonshot picks
+        </div>
+      </div>
+
+      {/* Row 1: today's picks */}
+      <div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-2 sm:grid-cols-2">
+        <PlatformChip label="Kalshi (today)" pick={today.kalshi} />
+        <PlatformChip label="Polymarket (today)" pick={today.polymarket} />
+      </div>
+
+      {/* Row 2: last 30d split */}
+      <div className="grid grid-cols-3 gap-2 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
+        <RollupCell label="Last 30d · Kalshi" rollup={last30Kalshi} />
+        <RollupCell label="Last 30d · Polymarket" rollup={last30Poly} />
+        <RollupCell label="Last 30d · Combined" rollup={last30} />
+      </div>
+
+      {/* Row 3: lifetime */}
+      <div className="flex items-baseline justify-between rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
+        <div>
+          <div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">
+            Lifetime
+          </div>
+          <div className="text-sm">
+            <span className="font-medium">{formatPct(lifetime.winRate)}</span>
+            <span className="text-muted-foreground">
+              {" "}
+              win rate · {lifetime.totalPicks} picks
+            </span>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+        <div
+          className={cn(
+            "text-base font-semibold",
+            lifetime.totalPnl > 0
+              ? "text-green-300"
+              : lifetime.totalPnl < 0
+                ? "text-red-300"
+                : "text-muted-foreground",
+          )}
+        >
+          {formatPnl(lifetime.totalPnl)}
+        </div>
+      </div>
+
+      {/* Full mode: per-day table */}
+      {!compact && days.length > 0 && (
+        <div className="mt-2 overflow-x-auto">
+          <table className="w-full text-xs">
+            <thead>
+              <tr className="border-b border-white/5 text-left text-muted-foreground">
+                <th className="py-2 pr-2">Date</th>
+                <th className="py-2 pr-2">Kalshi (W/L/P)</th>
+                <th className="py-2 pr-2">Polymarket (W/L/P)</th>
+                <th className="py-2 pr-2 text-right">Daily PnL</th>
+              </tr>
+            </thead>
+            <tbody>
+              {days.map((d) => (
+                <tr key={d.date} className="border-b border-white/5">
+                  <td className="py-2 pr-2 font-mono">{d.date}</td>
+                  <td className="py-2 pr-2">
+                    {d.kalshi.wins}/{d.kalshi.losses}/{d.kalshi.pending}
+                  </td>
+                  <td className="py-2 pr-2">
+                    {d.polymarket.wins}/{d.polymarket.losses}/{d.polymarket.pending}
+                  </td>
+                  <td
+                    className={cn(
+                      "py-2 pr-2 text-right",
+                      d.combined.totalPnl > 0
+                        ? "text-green-300"
+                        : d.combined.totalPnl < 0
+                          ? "text-red-300"
+                          : "text-muted-foreground",
+                    )}
+                  >
+                    {formatPnl(d.combined.totalPnl)}
+                  </td>
+                </tr>
+              ))}
+            </tbody>
+          </table>
+        </div>
+      )}
+    </div>
+  );
+}
+
+export default DailyPlayScoreboard;

client/src/lib/dashboardLanding.test.ts

@@ -60,6 +60,6 @@ describe("dashboardLanding", () => {
   it("returns the fast-action links for the first live-test workflow", () => {
     const items = getFastActionItems();
     expect(items).toHaveLength(4);
-    expect(items.map((item) => item.href)).toEqual(["/connect", "/autonomy", "/risk-controls", "/analytics"]);
+    expect(items.map((item) => item.href)).toEqual(["/connect", "/autonomy", "/risk-controls", "/signals"]);
   });
 });

client/src/lib/dashboardLanding.ts

@@ -66,7 +66,7 @@ export function getFastActionItems() {
       body: "Check risk budgets, posture warnings, and kill-switch readiness before testing live execution.",
     },
     {
-      href: "/analytics",
+      href: "/signals",
       title: "Scan liquidity",
       body: "Inspect spread proxies, depth imbalance, and pressure watchlists before acting on any signal.",
     },

client/src/lib/setupStatus.ts

@@ -85,11 +85,11 @@ export function deriveSetupStatus(input: DeriveInput): SetupStatus {
       description:
         "Deposit USD into Kalshi so the bot has capital to trade.  No funds = no orders.",
       complete: funded,
-      href: "/funding",
+      href: "/connect",
       pendingHint:
         accountConnected
           ? "Equity is $0.  Deposit USD via Kalshi to enable trading."
-          : "Connect first; funding shows the live balance once linked.",
+          : "Connect first; the connect page shows the live balance once linked.",
     },
     {
       id: "configure",