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feat: Polymarket daily sports play + dailyPlayPicks scoreboard + Coinbase scaffold + CodeRabbit fixes
Implements the plan in /root/.claude/plans/sparkling-churning-dusk.md. Targets the user's stated goal of arming live trading on both prediction platforms while tracking the bot's daily sports-pick win/loss record. Phase 0 — CodeRabbit correctness fixes (BLOCKING) - kalshiSignals.calculateSignalPerformance: lazy-init each SignalType so newly added types (linguistic_tell, wikipedia_edit) no longer crash on the non-null assertion. Regression test added. - wikipediaEditWatcher: breaker tightened to 30s/30s (CLAUDE.md profile), cursor advance is now monotonic (no rollback on overlapping polls), matchSignalsToMarkets gates by category when both sides expose it (kills "musk" → music false positives). New regression tests. - grokPersonas: getGrokPersona preserves caller's category; ${RULES_BLOCK} placeholder removed from cached mandate so injectVerbatimRulesBlock remains the only splice path. - linguistic-tells test: cap assertion tightened to 0.92. Phase 1 — Polymarket Daily Sports Play (new) - server/_core/polymarketDailySportsPlay.ts mirrors dailySportsPlay.ts. Reuses operator's existing tradingPreferences gates so a single liveTradingEnabled toggle arms BOTH Kalshi and Polymarket daily plays. Sized 2.5% of bankroll (Kalshi capital proxy until USDC.e poll lands). Filters Polymarket sports markets via category literal OR classifier fallback (Polymarket's category strings are messier than Kalshi's). AI-reviewed via reviewPolymarketSignalsWithTrader; full risk-gate stack inline (existing position, drawdown breaker, portfolio + per- category exposure caps). Per-user mutex wraps placement. Phase 2 — dailyPlayPicks lifecycle table - New table tracks each daily-play pick from entry to resolution across BOTH platforms. Unique index on (userId, platform, playType, playDate) makes inserts idempotent at the DB level. - server/db.daily-play-picks.ts: insertDailyPlayPick (ON CONFLICT DO NOTHING), linkPositionToPick, closeDailyPlayPickByPosition, closeDailyPlayPickByMarketFallback, getDailyPlayPicks, getTodayDailyPlayPicks, rollupScoreboard. Phase 3 — Scheduler wiring - maybeRunPolymarketDailySportsPlay added next to the Kalshi version, same 5-min tick + per-user dedup (in-process Set + audit-log). Phase 4 — Close-hook side effects - closeKalshiPosition (Kalshi live + paper) closes matching daily picks - polymarketPositionSync drift-close updates picks with estimated exit price (snapshot mark) — flagged in audit - paperTrading polymarket close closes matching paper picks - upsertPolymarketPosition closes picks on transition-to-closed (defensive — drift-close is the primary detector) Phase 5 — tRPC daily.* namespace - daily.getDailyPlayScoreboard returns today's picks + 30-day rollup + lifetime win-rate by platform (Kalshi vs Polymarket). - daily.getTodayDailyPlay returns today's row(s) only. Phase 6 — Daily Pick Scoreboard widget - client/src/components/widgets/DailyPlayScoreboard.tsx: 3-row compact card (today's picks + last 30d split + lifetime tally) with per-day table in full mode. Mounted on Dashboard.tsx after the equity chart. Phase 7 — env vars - ENABLE_POLYMARKET_DAILY_SPORTS_PLAY (default true) - POLYMARKET_DAILY_SPORTS_PLAY_HOUR_UTC (default 14) - POLYMARKET_DAILY_SPORTS_PLAY_PCT_OF_CAPITAL (default 0.025) - ENABLE_COINBASE_LIVE (default false), COINBASE_SANDBOX_MODE (true) Phase 8/9 — Operator pre-arm checklist + verification doc - docs/POLYMARKET_DAILY_PLAY_VERIFICATION.md walks through every Railway env var, per-user trading pref, funding step, self-test check, and an 11-step paper→live smoke test sequence. Phase 10 — Coinbase scaffolding (architectural ONLY) - drizzle/migrations/0014_coinbase_scaffold.sql + schema exports for coinbaseCredentials, coinbaseOrders, coinbasePositions, coinbaseCapital - server/_core/coinbaseAuth.ts (format validation only, balance fetch stubbed), server/_core/coinbaseExecution.ts (THROWS on every call — inert until Phase 10 build-out lands) - server/db.coinbase-credentials.ts mirrors Polymarket creds (AES-GCM) - coinbase.* tRPC namespace (connect/status/disconnect) - CoinbaseConnectPanel on Connect.tsx — operator can connect now to be ready when instruments + signal sources are decided Verification: 1009 tests passing (up from 1002), typecheck clean. https://claude.ai/code/session_01To82bdNQsUtCeAyGJFLQc3
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‎client/src/components/widgets/DailyPlayScoreboard.tsx‎

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import React from "react";
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import { Trophy, TrendingDown, Clock, MinusCircle } from "lucide-react";
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import { trpc } from "@/lib/trpc";
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import { cn } from "@/lib/utils";
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/**
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* Daily-pick Scoreboard widget.
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*
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* Renders the bot's win/loss record on its daily sports + moonshot picks
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* across both Kalshi and Polymarket. Two modes:
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*
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* compact (Dashboard.tsx): 3-row card — today's picks, last 30d split,
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* lifetime tally.
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* full (Performance.tsx): compact + per-platform breakdown table.
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*/
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interface DailyPlayScoreboardProps {
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compact?: boolean;
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className?: string;
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}
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interface PlatformRollup {
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wins: number;
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losses: number;
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pending: number;
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picks: number;
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totalStaked: number;
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totalPnl: number;
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}
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function formatPnl(v: number): string {
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const sign = v > 0 ? "+" : v < 0 ? "−" : "";
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return `${sign}$${Math.abs(v).toFixed(2)}`;
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}
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function formatPct(v: number): string {
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return `${(v * 100).toFixed(1)}%`;
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}
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function StatusBadge({ status }: { status: string }) {
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const map: Record<string, { label: string; cls: string; Icon: typeof Trophy }> = {
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pending: { label: "Open", cls: "bg-blue-500/20 text-blue-300", Icon: Clock },
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won: { label: "Won", cls: "bg-green-500/20 text-green-300", Icon: Trophy },
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lost: { label: "Lost", cls: "bg-red-500/20 text-red-300", Icon: TrendingDown },
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closed_breakeven: {
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label: "Even",
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cls: "bg-zinc-500/20 text-zinc-300",
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Icon: MinusCircle,
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},
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partial: { label: "Partial", cls: "bg-amber-500/20 text-amber-300", Icon: Clock },
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voided: { label: "Voided", cls: "bg-zinc-700/40 text-zinc-400", Icon: MinusCircle },
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};
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const e = map[status] ?? map.pending;
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const Icon = e.Icon;
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return (
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<span
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className={cn(
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"inline-flex items-center gap-1 rounded-md px-2 py-0.5 text-xs font-medium",
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e.cls,
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)}
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>
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<Icon size={12} />
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{e.label}
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</span>
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);
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}
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interface ChipPick {
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marketId: string;
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side: string;
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stakeUsd: number;
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status: string;
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confidence: number | null;
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realizedPnl?: number | null;
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}
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function PlatformChip({
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label,
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pick,
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}: {
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label: string;
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pick: ChipPick | null;
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}) {
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if (!pick) {
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return (
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<div className="flex flex-col gap-1 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
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<div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
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<div className="text-sm text-muted-foreground italic">No play yet today</div>
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</div>
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);
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}
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const truncated = pick.marketId.slice(0, 40);
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return (
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<div className="flex flex-col gap-1 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
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<div className="flex items-center justify-between">
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<div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
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<StatusBadge status={pick.status} />
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</div>
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<div className="text-sm font-medium" title={pick.marketId}>
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{truncated}
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</div>
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<div className="text-xs text-muted-foreground">
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{pick.side.toUpperCase()} · ${pick.stakeUsd.toFixed(2)}
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{pick.confidence != null && ` · ${formatPct(pick.confidence)}`}
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{pick.realizedPnl != null && pick.status !== "pending" && (
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<span className={pick.realizedPnl >= 0 ? "text-green-300" : "text-red-300"}>
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{" · "}
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{formatPnl(pick.realizedPnl)}
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</span>
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)}
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</div>
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</div>
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);
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}
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function RollupCell({ label, rollup }: { label: string; rollup: PlatformRollup }) {
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return (
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<div className="flex flex-col items-start">
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<div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">{label}</div>
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<div className="text-sm font-medium">
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<span className="text-green-300">{rollup.wins}W</span>
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<span className="text-muted-foreground"> · </span>
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<span className="text-red-300">{rollup.losses}L</span>
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{rollup.pending > 0 && (
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<>
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<span className="text-muted-foreground"> · </span>
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<span className="text-blue-300">{rollup.pending}P</span>
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</>
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)}
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</div>
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<div
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className={cn(
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"text-xs",
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rollup.totalPnl > 0
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? "text-green-300"
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: rollup.totalPnl < 0
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? "text-red-300"
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: "text-muted-foreground",
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)}
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>
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{formatPnl(rollup.totalPnl)}
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</div>
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</div>
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);
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}
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export function DailyPlayScoreboard({ compact = false, className }: DailyPlayScoreboardProps) {
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const scoreboardQuery = trpc.daily.getDailyPlayScoreboard.useQuery({
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platform: "both",
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daysBack: 30,
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});
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if (scoreboardQuery.isLoading || !scoreboardQuery.data) {
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return (
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<div className={cn("data-card", className)}>
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<div className="h-4 w-32 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5 mb-3" />
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<div className="h-12 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5 mb-3" />
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<div className="h-4 w-24 animate-shimmer rounded-md bg-white/5" />
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</div>
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);
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}
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const { today, days, lifetime } = scoreboardQuery.data;
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// Compute the 30-day combined rollup from days[]
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const last30 = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
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(acc, d) => ({
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wins: acc.wins + d.combined.wins,
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losses: acc.losses + d.combined.losses,
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pending: acc.pending + d.combined.pending,
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picks: acc.picks + d.combined.picks,
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totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.combined.totalStaked,
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totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.combined.totalPnl,
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}),
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{ wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
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);
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const last30Kalshi = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
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(acc, d) => ({
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wins: acc.wins + d.kalshi.wins,
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losses: acc.losses + d.kalshi.losses,
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pending: acc.pending + d.kalshi.pending,
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picks: acc.picks + d.kalshi.picks,
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totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.kalshi.totalStaked,
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totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.kalshi.totalPnl,
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}),
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{ wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
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);
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const last30Poly = days.reduce<PlatformRollup>(
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(acc, d) => ({
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wins: acc.wins + d.polymarket.wins,
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losses: acc.losses + d.polymarket.losses,
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pending: acc.pending + d.polymarket.pending,
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picks: acc.picks + d.polymarket.picks,
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totalStaked: acc.totalStaked + d.polymarket.totalStaked,
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totalPnl: acc.totalPnl + d.polymarket.totalPnl,
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}),
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{ wins: 0, losses: 0, pending: 0, picks: 0, totalStaked: 0, totalPnl: 0 },
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);
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return (
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<div className={cn("data-card flex flex-col gap-4", className)}>
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<div className="flex items-center justify-between">
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<div className="flex items-center gap-2">
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<Trophy size={16} className="text-amber-400" />
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<h3 className="text-sm font-semibold">Daily Pick Scoreboard</h3>
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</div>
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<div className="text-xs text-muted-foreground">
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Bot's daily sports/moonshot picks
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</div>
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</div>
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{/* Row 1: today's picks */}
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<div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-2 sm:grid-cols-2">
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<PlatformChip label="Kalshi (today)" pick={today.kalshi} />
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<PlatformChip label="Polymarket (today)" pick={today.polymarket} />
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</div>
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{/* Row 2: last 30d split */}
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<div className="grid grid-cols-3 gap-2 rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
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<RollupCell label="Last 30d · Kalshi" rollup={last30Kalshi} />
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<RollupCell label="Last 30d · Polymarket" rollup={last30Poly} />
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<RollupCell label="Last 30d · Combined" rollup={last30} />
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</div>
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{/* Row 3: lifetime */}
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<div className="flex items-baseline justify-between rounded-md border border-white/5 bg-white/[0.02] px-3 py-2">
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<div>
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<div className="text-[11px] uppercase tracking-wide text-muted-foreground">
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Lifetime
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</div>
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<div className="text-sm">
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<span className="font-medium">{formatPct(lifetime.winRate)}</span>
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<span className="text-muted-foreground">
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{" "}
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win rate · {lifetime.totalPicks} picks
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</span>
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</div>
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</div>
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<div
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className={cn(
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"text-base font-semibold",
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lifetime.totalPnl > 0
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? "text-green-300"
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: lifetime.totalPnl < 0
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? "text-red-300"
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: "text-muted-foreground",
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)}
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>
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{formatPnl(lifetime.totalPnl)}
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</div>
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</div>
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{/* Full mode: per-day table */}
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{!compact && days.length > 0 && (
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<div className="mt-2 overflow-x-auto">
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<table className="w-full text-xs">
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<thead>
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<tr className="border-b border-white/5 text-left text-muted-foreground">
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<th className="py-2 pr-2">Date</th>
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<th className="py-2 pr-2">Kalshi (W/L/P)</th>
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<th className="py-2 pr-2">Polymarket (W/L/P)</th>
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<th className="py-2 pr-2 text-right">Daily PnL</th>
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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{days.map((d) => (
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<tr key={d.date} className="border-b border-white/5">
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<td className="py-2 pr-2 font-mono">{d.date}</td>
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<td className="py-2 pr-2">
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{d.kalshi.wins}/{d.kalshi.losses}/{d.kalshi.pending}
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</td>
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<td className="py-2 pr-2">
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{d.polymarket.wins}/{d.polymarket.losses}/{d.polymarket.pending}
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</td>
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<td
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className={cn(
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"py-2 pr-2 text-right",
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d.combined.totalPnl > 0
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? "text-green-300"
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: d.combined.totalPnl < 0
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? "text-red-300"
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: "text-muted-foreground",
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)}
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>
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{formatPnl(d.combined.totalPnl)}
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</td>
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</tr>
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))}
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</tbody>
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</table>
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</div>
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)}
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</div>
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);
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}
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export default DailyPlayScoreboard;

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