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Private Credit Contract Facility Analysis Model

Overview

This model evaluates specialty loans secured by guaranteed contracts, structured as a 36-month facility with a 12-month deferral period followed by 24 months of principal and interest payments. The analysis covers the full underwriting lifecycle from initial credit assessment through approval recommendation.

Key Features

- Comprehensive credit assessment
- Dual sensitivity analysis: 30 stress-test scenarios
- 36-month amortization schedule with 12-month deferral
- Underwriting standards compliance framework
- Risk identification and mitigation strategy
- Personal financial statement construction
- 5 C's credit assessment (Character, Capacity, Capital, Collateral, Conditions)

Model Components

Financial Models

  • Amortization schedule: 36-month term with 12-month deferral period
Deferral Period: 12 months (0 payments)
Repayment Period: 24 months (principal + interest)
Total Term: 36 months

Amortization Schedule

  • Sensitivity analysis: 30 scenarios
Stress Test Variables:
Interest Rate Range: 5%12%
Term Range: 2436 months
Output: Minimum Annual DSCR, Total Interest Income

Sensitivity Analysis Heatmap

  • Four-year cash flow analysis
Net Cash Flow = Guaranteed Salary - Documented Expenses
Available for Debt Service = Net Cash Flow (annual)

Cash Flow Analysis

  • Interest Reserve & Fees
Interest Reserve = 1% of Loan Amount (funded upfront)
Origination Fee = 3% of Loan Amount
Documentation Fee = 10% of Loan Amount
Total Fees = Interest Reserve + Origination Fee + Documentation Fee

Guidleines

  • Personal financial statement (PFS)
    • Balance sheet of liquid and non-liquid assets

Cash Flow Analysis

Credit Analysis

  • Debt Service Coverage (DSCR)
DSCR = Annual Net Cash Flow / Annual Debt Service
  • Monthly Payment Calculation (PMT)
Monthly Payment = PMT(monthly_rate, number_of_months, -loan_amount)
Total Interest = (Monthly Payment × Term) - Loan Amount
  • Amortization
Beginning Balance = Prior Month Ending Balance
Interest Payment = Beginning Balance × Monthly Rate
Principal Payment = Monthly Payment - Interest Payment
Ending Balance = Beginning Balance - Principal Payment
  • Loan-to-Contract (LTCg)
LTCg = Loan Amount / Remaining Guaranteed Salary
  • Debt-to-Asset (DTA)
DTA = Total Liabilities / Total Assets
  • Debt-to-Income (DTI)
DTI = Monthly Debt Obligation / Monthly Income
  • Interest coverage
Interest Coverage = Annual Net Cash Flow / Annual Interest Expense
  • Liquidity and collateral coverage (Liquidity buffer: months of available cash relative to monthly debt service)
Collateral Coverage = Remaining Guaranteed Salary / Loan Amount
Liquidity = Liquid Assets / Monthly Debt Service

Credit Documentation

  • Underwriting standards compliance table

    • Ratio calculations, guideline thresholds, pro forma results, compliance flags
  • Risk assessment with mitigants

    • Risks identified with severity ratings and lender mitigants
  • Approval recommendation with supporting rationale

    • Credit decision backed by quantitative analysis and qualitative risk assessment

File Structure

PC_Analysis_Model.xlsx

  1. NBA CONTRACT LOAN (Model overview & navigation guide)
  2. Summary (Credit memorandum & approval decision)
  3. Guidelines (Ratio compliance, risk flags, 5 C's framework)
  4. Cash Flow (4-year income & expense analysis)
  5. Schedule (36-month amortization with deferral)
  6. Sensitivity (30-scenario rate/term stress test)
  7. Inputs (Centralized deal parameters)
  8. PFS (Personal financial statement)
  9. Contract (Compensation analysis)
Metric Value
Loan Amount $10,250,000
Interest Rate 13.0%
Term 36 months (12-month deferral + 24-month amortization)
Monthly PMT $487,304
Annual Debt Service $5,847,644
Average DSCR 4.33x
Minimum Annual DSCR 2.16x (Year 4)
LTCg 11.8%
Collateral Coverage 8.48x
Net Worth $90.7M
Total Upfront $2,352,739
Total Lender Return $2,172,978

Tools

  • Microsoft Excel: dynamic formulas, named ranges, conditional formatting, data validation, PivotTables

Disclaimer

Sample deal for demonstration purposes only. All data is fictional. Prepared independently by Kristen Gallagher.

License

© 2025 Kristen Gallagher. All rights reserved. This work is made available for viewing and reference purposes only. You may not reproduce, distribute, modify, or claim this work as your own without explicit written permission from the author.

About

Full-cycle credit underwriting model for a contract-backed loan facility: amortization schedule, cash flow analysis, sensitivity analysis, personal financial statement.

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