|
| 1 | +# Dashboard Glossary (AI vs Bookmakers) |
| 2 | + |
| 3 | +This glossary defines **UI terms** used on the OddsFlow dashboard. |
| 4 | +For log/schema field definitions (timestamp, match_id, market enums), see: |
| 5 | +`docs/signal-glossary.md`. |
| 6 | + |
| 7 | +> Educational analytics only — not betting advice. |
| 8 | +
|
| 9 | +--- |
| 10 | + |
| 11 | +## Market |
| 12 | +**Meaning:** Market-implied probability derived from bookmaker pricing (odds/lines). |
| 13 | +**Intuition:** “What the market is pricing.” |
| 14 | + |
| 15 | +## Model |
| 16 | +**Meaning:** AI-estimated probability based on data/modeling. |
| 17 | +**Intuition:** “What the model believes.” |
| 18 | + |
| 19 | +## Implied |
| 20 | +**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the market’s expected rate for an outcome category. |
| 21 | +**Intuition:** “The market forecast.” |
| 22 | + |
| 23 | +## Actual |
| 24 | +**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the observed rate in a recent sample window. |
| 25 | +**Intuition:** “What really happened.” |
| 26 | + |
| 27 | +## Deviation |
| 28 | +**Meaning:** the difference between Actual and Implied. |
| 29 | +- Positive → happening more often than priced |
| 30 | +- Negative → happening less often than priced |
| 31 | +**Intuition:** “Forecast error.” |
| 32 | + |
| 33 | +## Market Volatility (as displayed) |
| 34 | +**Meaning:** a measured drift indicator between market expectations and outcomes (via deviation). |
| 35 | +**Intuition:** “How far reality is drifting from the priced script.” |
| 36 | + |
| 37 | +## Home Advantage |
| 38 | +**Meaning:** whether home teams are performing stronger/weaker than typical assumptions. |
| 39 | +**Intuition:** “Is home actually home right now?” |
| 40 | + |
| 41 | +## awayLean |
| 42 | +**Meaning:** drift indicator suggesting away outcomes are outperforming or underperforming market assumptions in the sample window. |
| 43 | +**Intuition:** “Is the league leaning away right now?” |
| 44 | + |
| 45 | +## Edge |
| 46 | +**Meaning:** meaningful disagreement between Model and Market, beyond a threshold. |
| 47 | +**Intuition:** “The gap worth reviewing.” |
| 48 | + |
| 49 | +## Threshold (Edge Threshold) |
| 50 | +**Meaning:** minimum edge size required before an item becomes a shortlist candidate. |
| 51 | +**Intuition:** “Ignore tiny gaps.” |
| 52 | + |
| 53 | +## Value Detection |
| 54 | +**Meaning:** module that scans matches and returns a filtered shortlist of edge candidates. |
| 55 | +**Intuition:** “Shortlist builder.” |
| 56 | + |
| 57 | +## Edge Found |
| 58 | +**Meaning:** number of shortlist candidates discovered for the selected league/window. |
| 59 | +**Intuition:** “How many disagreements passed the bar.” |
| 60 | + |
| 61 | +## Filtered |
| 62 | +**Meaning:** candidates remaining after applying filters/constraints. |
| 63 | +**Intuition:** “How many survived filtering.” |
| 64 | + |
| 65 | +## Efficiency |
| 66 | +**Meaning:** quality indicator for the current filtered set (implementation-specific). |
| 67 | +**Intuition:** “How clean the shortlist is.” |
| 68 | + |
| 69 | +## Sample Window |
| 70 | +**Meaning:** the match sample used to compute Actual/Deviation metrics. |
| 71 | +**Intuition:** “The timeframe behind league weather.” |
0 commit comments