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# Dashboard Glossary (AI vs Bookmakers)
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This glossary defines **UI terms** used on the OddsFlow dashboard.
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For log/schema field definitions (timestamp, match_id, market enums), see:
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`docs/signal-glossary.md`.
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> Educational analytics only — not betting advice.
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---
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## Market
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**Meaning:** Market-implied probability derived from bookmaker pricing (odds/lines).
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**Intuition:** “What the market is pricing.”
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## Model
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**Meaning:** AI-estimated probability based on data/modeling.
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**Intuition:** “What the model believes.”
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## Implied
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**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the market’s expected rate for an outcome category.
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**Intuition:** “The market forecast.”
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## Actual
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**Meaning (in Trend cards):** the observed rate in a recent sample window.
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**Intuition:** “What really happened.”
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## Deviation
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**Meaning:** the difference between Actual and Implied.
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- Positive → happening more often than priced
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- Negative → happening less often than priced
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**Intuition:** “Forecast error.”
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## Market Volatility (as displayed)
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**Meaning:** a measured drift indicator between market expectations and outcomes (via deviation).
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**Intuition:** “How far reality is drifting from the priced script.”
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## Home Advantage
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**Meaning:** whether home teams are performing stronger/weaker than typical assumptions.
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**Intuition:** “Is home actually home right now?”
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## awayLean
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**Meaning:** drift indicator suggesting away outcomes are outperforming or underperforming market assumptions in the sample window.
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**Intuition:** “Is the league leaning away right now?”
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## Edge
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**Meaning:** meaningful disagreement between Model and Market, beyond a threshold.
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**Intuition:** “The gap worth reviewing.”
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## Threshold (Edge Threshold)
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**Meaning:** minimum edge size required before an item becomes a shortlist candidate.
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**Intuition:** “Ignore tiny gaps.”
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## Value Detection
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**Meaning:** module that scans matches and returns a filtered shortlist of edge candidates.
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**Intuition:** “Shortlist builder.”
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## Edge Found
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**Meaning:** number of shortlist candidates discovered for the selected league/window.
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**Intuition:** “How many disagreements passed the bar.”
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## Filtered
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**Meaning:** candidates remaining after applying filters/constraints.
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**Intuition:** “How many survived filtering.”
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## Efficiency
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**Meaning:** quality indicator for the current filtered set (implementation-specific).
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**Intuition:** “How clean the shortlist is.”
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## Sample Window
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**Meaning:** the match sample used to compute Actual/Deviation metrics.
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**Intuition:** “The timeframe behind league weather.”

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