alarm_results.txt

#Lab Specified Network
n =  10
P(B=t) =  0.170574690571
P(E=t) =  0.331698140621
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.49548119272
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.681169865528
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.204107909732
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.122267131262
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.663484302759
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.456575880921
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.692616731862
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.262502002556

accuracy =  0.852392980545


n =  25
P(B=t) =  0.145804327387
P(E=t) =  0.301258689109
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.487896210563
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.777663564822
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.231154517332
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.287893133231
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.893332609622
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.258277135947
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.816981980763
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.206735557912

accuracy =  0.889817584859


n =  50
P(B=t) =  0.235276486864
P(E=t) =  0.310554042485
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.661941267726
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.913835726188
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.124189937232
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.332010626438
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.818137362933
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.282156327877
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.719409190866
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.272112796206

accuracy =  0.913081041576


n =  75
P(B=t) =  0.236621171662
P(E=t) =  0.328179983369
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.782709357499
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.945126460405
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.21105604891
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.276977875971
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.86831350841
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.289755982364
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.734813200822
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.265377959274

accuracy =  0.94159821995


n =  100
P(B=t) =  0.209691838399
P(E=t) =  0.311613496956
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.833374736415
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.950449114643
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.178737713579
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.287222286505
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.883972485633
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.278754797019
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.687658796229
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.338485653889

accuracy =  0.950752654444


n =  250
P(B=t) =  0.197724388032
P(E=t) =  0.299002223585
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.846128825854
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.949082353107
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.222526276444
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.213016708688
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.907853865148
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.201165808363
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.678072189223
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.307890141555

accuracy =  0.976444502628


n =  500
P(B=t) =  0.203289498639
P(E=t) =  0.301538079546
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.915277378244
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.961146427876
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.27529764543
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.192596334085
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.902590676131
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.214239111208
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.672258884049
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.289422117677

accuracy =  0.986204856609


n =  750
P(B=t) =  0.209630372253
P(E=t) =  0.300507242386
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.952936822889
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.95014188974
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.283091155064
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.196584883663
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.897483654591
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.192212051497
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.661391897248
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.296366304199

accuracy =  0.991391361899


n =  1000
P(B=t) =  0.200164885349
P(E=t) =  0.284158697046
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.917701188946
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.939952548751
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.293745915377
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.203544537841
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.904076141123
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.199582592972
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.664832059346
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.309162827967

accuracy =  0.98955327794


#Our Network

##true values
P(B=t) =  0.2
P(E=t) =  0.7
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.95
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.94
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.25
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.01
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.95
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.2
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.77
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.1

n =  10
P(B=t) =  0.0738204458989
P(E=t) =  0.677003881353
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.51699463796
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.503119712114
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.107260606156
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.190236462071
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.485947424546
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.240622843888
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.49749329777
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.165244554255

accuracy =  0.781553614558


n =  25
P(B=t) =  0.0797495824301
P(E=t) =  0.62867622379
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.50760582524
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.670153283049
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.102698338919
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.1985536557
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.809151995017
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.246047195881
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.403691069918
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.126649141536

accuracy =  0.818047632525


n =  50
P(B=t) =  0.15776761287
P(E=t) =  0.695583560543
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.884982319562
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.664230449954
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.297314914371
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.127886346554
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.898486925196
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.248708595751
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.72615333232
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.1040037393

accuracy =  0.929929060447


n =  75
P(B=t) =  0.133698283732
P(E=t) =  0.713683220831
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.900303391269
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.67668204849
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.251031185671
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0955026634465
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.867274122267
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.242664668431
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.742799351838
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.113318434219

accuracy =  0.9354557025


n =  100
P(B=t) =  0.122168277166
P(E=t) =  0.682803170409
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.90422939965
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.741954540649
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.215569318432
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0602436462671
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.84802853785
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.221194561059
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.743113150958
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.122273344235

accuracy =  0.940415484355


n =  250
P(B=t) =  0.189638187042
P(E=t) =  0.688592285429
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.918040183637
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.877038543385
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.336954768702
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0590420630299
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.936431156467
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.210496585696
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.79313933822
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.123505915697

accuracy =  0.967660168462


n =  500
P(B=t) =  0.177322974077
P(E=t) =  0.701974487964
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.960608823747
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.910576210402
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.285537468393
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0338729289173
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.964535140898
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.219774807338
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.786730665345
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.103016161587

accuracy =  0.982184870029


n =  750
P(B=t) =  0.151596221418
P(E=t) =  0.692146380655
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.953586623362
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.913872769203
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.238502809787
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0216154387422
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.948920945428
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.217553411198
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.77326767684
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0958588261461

accuracy =  0.98648748025


n =  1000
P(B=t) =  0.147490892993
P(E=t) =  0.699113949725
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.961655637914
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.862743171593
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.241881981807
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0154878557982
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.940026388909
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.22454393481
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.771391936241
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.093946099625

accuracy =  0.980212311989

#Original Network
n =  10
P(B=t) =  0.0834494951186
P(E=t) =  0.0823083801098
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.498608923135
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.513381748484
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.506552723716
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0818757653985
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.501870710262
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.157367008265
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.507574864013
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0814274415709

accuracy =  0.789245543171


n =  25
P(B=t) =  0.0374971515328
P(E=t) =  0.0486993537292
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.51629191156
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.497724479643
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.49325642757
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0392061281512
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.500382149573
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.148578807918
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.516257383413
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0359136830844

accuracy =  0.80915043722


n =  50
P(B=t) =  0.0171293760827
P(E=t) =  0.0222348313168
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.509140830611
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.51329915344
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.50052545563
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.0132213362814
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.498105718788
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.117683930082
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.492213889356
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0205650539213

accuracy =  0.818539960888


n =  75
P(B=t) =  0.0105232517749
P(E=t) =  0.00992178681954
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.497802579507
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.481511246119
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.516299083322
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.00714797368844
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.503132485669
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.0744025326004
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.493761289249
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0162466066835

accuracy =  0.820566636566


n =  100
P(B=t) =  0.0102245246611
P(E=t) =  0.00291843089727
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.491834784992
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.504169538715
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.497041899622
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.00665644719812
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.509713074593
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.06907369255
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.508174621593
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0113184626671

accuracy =  0.82806585623


n =  250
P(B=t) =  0.00529178278435
P(E=t) =  0.00263475836156
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.499705322754
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.658024591062
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.506659473502
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.00410031304725
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.662661251535
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.0629554040931
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.356882853208
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0117632612586

accuracy =  0.844786902551


n =  500
P(B=t) =  0.00626301391408
P(E=t) =  0.00329794223446
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.502967123323
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.758110817831
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.505835386217
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.00231657874178
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.49998260512
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.0511564005062
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.508693544148
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.00827164180609

accuracy =  0.855315641062


n =  750
P(B=t) =  0.00417234990535
P(E=t) =  0.0032454804858
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.51169849449
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.758895838707
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.502626352387
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.000237559881875
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.511406002867
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.062471329822
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.500141295232
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0105939671756

accuracy =  0.85612697114


n =  1000
P(B=t) =  0.00415359127828
P(E=t) =  0.00016177053052
P(A=t | B=t, E=t) =  0.497335563992
P(A=t | B=t, E=f) =  0.806218301116
P(A=t | B=f, E=t) =  0.503984088383
P(A=t | B=f, E=f) =  0.000932937631589
P(J=t | A=t) =  0.600303259881
P(J=t | A=f) =  0.0612637105081
P(M=t | A=t) =  0.590060533089
P(M=t | A=f) =  0.0131655092477

accuracy =  0.877044546682