PopModSnowfinch.bib

@article{Arnason.1972,
	title = {Parameter estimates from mark-recapture experiments on two populations subject to migration and death},
	volume = {13},
	pages = {97--113},
	journaltitle = {Researches on Population Ecology},
	author = {Arnason, A N},
	date = {1972},
}

@article{Pradel.1997,
	title = {Estimating survival rate and proportion of transients using capture-recapture data from open population},
	volume = {53},
	pages = {88--99},
	journaltitle = {Biometrics},
	author = {Pradel, R and Hines, J E and Lebreton, J D and Nichols, J D},
	date = {1997},
}

@article{Pepin.2015,
	title = {Elevation-dependent warming in mountain regions of the world},
	volume = {5},
	pages = {424--430},
	journaltitle = {Nature Climate Change},
	author = {Pepin, N and Bradley, R S and Diaz, H F and Baraer, M and Caceres, E B and Forsythe, N and Fowler, H and Greenwood, G and Hashmi, M Z and Liu, X D and Miller, J R and Ning, L and Ohmura, A and Palazzi, E and Rangwala, I and Schöner, W and Severskiy, I and {Shahgedanova} and {M.} and Wang, M B and Willisamson, S N and Yang, D Q},
	date = {2015},
}

@article{Aichhorn.1966,
	title = {Brutbiologie und Verhalten des Schneefinken in Tirol},
	volume = {107},
	pages = {398},
	journaltitle = {Journal of Ornithology},
	author = {Aichhorn, A},
	date = {1966},
	keywords = {Montifringilla nivalis, temperature breeding behavi},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\7PWW9W38\\Aichhorn1966_DOG_Jahresversammlung.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@book{Caswell.2001,
	location = {Massachusetts},
	title = {Matrix population models. Construction, analysis, and interpretation},
	publisher = {Sinauer Associates, Sunderland},
	author = {Caswell, H},
	date = {2001},
	keywords = {Matrix model;population model},
}

@thesis{Ijjas.2022,
	location = {Wien},
	title = {Nestlingswachstum der Schneesperlinge in Abhängigkeit der Nestlingsanzahl, Schneeschmelze und Nahrung; mögliche Auswirkungen des Klimawandels},
	institution = {University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna},
	type = {phdthesis},
	author = {Ijjas, Fanni},
	date = {2022},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\KXUDB688\\Ijjas_MSCThesis_2022.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@book{Pastor.2008,
	location = {West Sussex},
	title = {Mathematical Ecology of Populations and Ecosystems},
	publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell},
	author = {Pastor, John},
	date = {2008},
	keywords = {ecosystem modelling diffusion model;population mod},
}

@article{White.2006,
	title = {Multistate survival models and their extensions in program {MARK}},
	volume = {70},
	pages = {1521--1529},
	journaltitle = {The Journal of Wildlife Management},
	author = {White, Gary C and Kendall, William L and Barker, Richard J},
	date = {2006},
	keywords = {multi-state model mark Software;statistics surviva},
}

@article{Schano.2021,
	title = {Hatching phenology is lagging behind an advancing snowmelt pattern in a high-alpine bird},
	volume = {11},
	issn = {2045-2322},
	doi = {10.1038/s41598-021-01497-8},
	pages = {20130016},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Scientific Reports},
	author = {Schano, Christian and Niffenegger, Carole and Jonas, Tobias and Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi},
	date = {2021},
	keywords = {{BREEDING} {BIOLOGY}, hatching date, Montifringilla niva},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\L66VXUYE\\Schano et al 2021 Scientific Reports - Hatching phenology is lagging behind an advancing snowmelt pattern in a high-alpine bird.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@article{Strinella.2020,
	title = {Potential sex-dependent effects of weather on apparent survival of a high-elevation specialist},
	volume = {10},
	issn = {2045-2322},
	doi = {10.1038/s41598-020-65017-w},
	abstract = {Mountain ecosystems are inhabited by highly specialised and endemic species which are particularly susceptible to climatic changes. However, the mechanisms by which climate change affects species population dynamics are still largely unknown, particularly for mountain birds. We investigated how weather variables correlate with survival or movement of the white-winged snowfinch Montifringilla nivalis, a specialist of high-elevation habitat. We analysed a 15-year (2003--2017) mark-recapture data set of 671 individuals from the Apennines (Italy), using mark-recapture models. Mark-recapture data allow estimating, forgiven time intervals, the probability that individuals stay in the study area and survive, the so called apparent survival. We estimated annual apparent survival to be around 0.44--0.54 for males and around 0.51--0.64 for females. Variance among years was high (range: 0.2--0.8), particularly for females. Apparent survival was lower in winter compared to summer. Female annual apparent survival was negatively correlated with warm and dry summers, whereas in males these weather variables only weakly correlated with apparent survival. Remarkably, the average apparent survival measured in this study was lower than expected. We suggest that the low apparent survival may be due to recent changes in the environment caused by global warming. Possible, non-exclusive mechanisms that potentially also could explain sexual differential apparent survival act via differential breeding dispersal, hyperthermia, weather-dependent food availability, and weather-dependent tradeoff between reproduction and self-maintenance. These results improve our current understanding of the mechanisms driving population dynamics in high-elevation specialist birds, which are particularly at risk due to climate change.},
	pages = {8386},
	number = {1},
	journaltitle = {Scientific Reports},
	author = {Strinella, Eliseo and Scridel, Davide and Brambilla, Mattia and Schano, Christian and Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi},
	date = {2020},
	keywords = {{CLIMATE} {CHANGE}, Abruzzi, apparent survival, {DEMOGRAPH}},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\4PM26Z56\\Strinella et al 2020 - Sci Rep - Sexual differences in weather effects on apparent survival.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@incollection{adler_cross-chapter_2022,
	location = {Cambridge {UK} and New York {USA}},
	title = {Cross-Chapter Paper 5: Mountains},
	pages = {2273--2318},
	booktitle = {Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability},
	publisher = {Cambridge University Press},
	author = {Adler, C. and Wester, P. and Bhatt, I. and Huggel, C. and Insarov, G.E. and Morecroft, M.D. and Muccione, V. and Prakash, A.},
	editor = {Pörtner, H.-O. and Roberts, D.C. and Tignor, M. and Poloczanska, E.S. and Mintenbeck, K. and Alegría, A. and Craig, M. and Langsdorf, S. and Löschke, S. and Möller, V. and Okem, A. and Rama, B.},
	date = {2022},
	doi = {10.1017/9781009325844.022.},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\BX7J3I4I\\IPCC_AR6_WGII_CCP5.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@incollection{Plummer2003,
	location = {Vienna},
	title = {{JAGS} : A Program for Analysis of Bayesian Graphical Models Using Gibbs Sampling {JAGS} : Just Another Gibbs Sampler},
	abstract = {{JAGS} is a program for Bayesian Graphical modelling which aims for compatibility with classic {BUGS}. The program could eventually be developed as an R package. This article explains the motivations for this program, briefly describes the architecture and then discusses some ideas for a vectorized form of the {BUGS} language. 1},
	pages = {1--8},
	booktitle = {Proceedings of the 3rd international workshop on distributed statistical computing},
	author = {Plummer, Martyn},
	editor = {Hornik, K. and Leisch, F. and Zeileis, A.},
	date = {2003},
	note = {Issue: Dsc},
	keywords = {jags},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\9KHL56LD\\Plummer2003_jags.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@thesis{zauner_apparent_2022,
	title = {Apparent survival and spatial movement of Snowfinches (Montfringilla nivalis) in Austria},
	pagetotal = {1-28},
	institution = {University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna},
	type = {phdthesis},
	author = {Zauner, Severin},
	date = {2022},
	file = {PDF:C\:\\Users\\fk\\Zotero\\storage\\GYEDLK25\\Zauner2022Masterarbeit.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@article{rogora_assessment_2018,
	title = {Assessment of climate change effects on mountain ecosystems through a cross-site analysis in the Alps and Apennines},
	volume = {624},
	doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.155},
	abstract = {Science of the Total Environment, 624 (2017) -. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.155},
	pages = {1429--1442},
	journaltitle = {Science of the Total Environment},
	author = {Rogora, M. and Frate, L. and Carranza, M. L. and Freppaz, M. and Stanisci, A. and Bertani, I. and Bottarin, R. and Brambilla, A. and Canullo, R. and Carbognani, M. and Cerrato, C. and Chelli, S. and Cremonese, E. and Cutini, M. and Musciano, M. Di and Erschbamer, B. and Godone, D. and Iocchi, M. and Isabellon, M. and Magnani, A. and Mazzola, L. and Cella, U. Di Morra and Pauli, H. and Petey, M. and Petriccione, B. and Porro, F. and Psenner, R. and Rossetti, G. and Scotti, A. and Sommaruga, R. and Tappeiner, U. and Theurillat, J.-P. and Tomaselli, M. and Viglietti, D. and Viterbi, R. and Vittoz, P. and Winkler, M. and Matteucci, G.},
	date = {2018},
	keywords = {{CLIMATE} {CHANGE}, {FRESHWATER}, Long-term research, Snow},
	file = {Rogora_etal_2018_ClimateChange_AlpsApennine_ScToEnv624 (1).pdf:C\:\\Users\\fk\\oikostat Dropbox\\Fränzi Korner\\oikostat_library\\fraenzi-Saved-Saved.Data\\PDF\\Rogora\\Rogora_etal_2018_ClimateChange_AlpsApennine_ScToEnv624 (1).pdf:application/pdf},
}

@article{strinella_biologia_2011,
	title = {Biologia riproduttiva del Fringuella Alpino Montifringilla nivalis a campo imeratore nel Parco Nazionale de Gran Sasso e Monti della Laga ({AQ})},
	volume = {8},
	pages = {95--100},
	journaltitle = {Aula},
	author = {Strinella, Eliseo and Vianale, P. and Pirrello, S. and Artese, C.},
	date = {2011},
	keywords = {{BREEDING} {BIOLOGY}, Montifringilla nivalis},
}

@article{grange_biologie_2008,
	title = {Biologie de reproduction de la Niverolle alpine Montifringilla nivalis dans les Pyrénées occidentales Françaises},
	volume = {55},
	pages = {67--82},
	journaltitle = {Nos Oiseaux},
	author = {Grangé, J.-L.},
	date = {2008},
	keywords = {Montifringilla nivalis},
}

@article{laake_hidden_2014,
	title = {Hidden Markov Model for Dependent Mark Loss and Survival Estimation},
	volume = {19},
	issn = {15372693},
	doi = {10.1007/s13253-014-0190-1},
	abstract = {Mark-recapture estimators assume no loss of marks to provide unbiased estimates of population parameters. We describe a hidden Markov model ({HMM}) framework that integrates a mark loss model with a Cormack–Jolly–Seber model for survival estimation. Mark loss can be estimated with single-marked animals as long as a sub-sample of animals has a permanent mark. Double-marking provides an estimate of mark loss assuming independence but dependence can be modeled with a permanently marked sub-sample. We use a log-linear approach to include covariates for mark loss and dependence which is more flexible than existing published methods for integrated models. The {HMM} approach is demonstrated with a dataset of black bears (Ursus americanus) with two ear tags and a subset of which were permanently marked with tattoos. The data were analyzed with and without the tattoo. Dropping the tattoos resulted in estimates of survival that were reduced by 0.005–0.035 due to tag loss dependence that could not be modeled. We also analyzed the data with and without the tattoo using a single tag. By not using. Supplementary materials accompanying this paper appear on-line.},
	pages = {524--540},
	number = {4},
	journaltitle = {Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics},
	author = {Laake, Jeffrey L. and Johnson, Devin S. and Diefenbach, Duane R. and Ternent, Mark A.},
	date = {2014-12},
	note = {Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media, {LLC}},
	keywords = {Capture-recapture, Hidden Markov model, Cormack–Jolly–Seber ({CJS}), Mark loss, Tag loss},
	file = {Laake2014Hidden Markov model for dependent mark loss and survival estimation.pdf:C\:\\Users\\fk\\oikostat Dropbox\\Fränzi Korner\\oikostat_library\\fraenzi-Saved-Saved.Data\\PDF\\Laake\\Laake2014Hidden Markov model for dependent mark loss and survival estimation.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@article{pradel_multievent_2005,
	title = {Multievent: An Extension of Multistate Capture–Recapture Models to Uncertain States},
	volume = {61},
	issn = {0006-341X, 1541-0420},
	url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00318.x},
	doi = {10.1111/j.1541-0420.2005.00318.x},
	shorttitle = {Multievent},
	abstract = {Capture-recapture models were originally developed to account for encounter probabilities that are less than 1 in free-ranging animal populations. Nowadays, these models can deal with the movement of animals between different locations and are also used to study transitions between different states. However, their use to estimate transitions between states does not account for uncertainty in state assignment. I present the extension of multievent models, which does incorporate this uncertainty. Multievent models belong to the family of hidden Markov models. I also show in this article that the memory model, in which the next state or location is influenced by the previous state occupied, can be fully treated within the framework of multievent models.},
	pages = {442--447},
	number = {2},
	journaltitle = {Biometrics},
	shortjournal = {Biometrics},
	author = {Pradel, Roger},
	urldate = {2023-10-24},
	date = {2005-06},
	langid = {english},
	file = {Pradel-MultieventExtensionMultistate-2005.pdf:C\:\\Users\\fk\\oikostat Dropbox\\Fränzi Korner\\oikostat_library\\fraenzi-Saved-Saved.Data\\PDF\\Pradel\\Pradel-MultieventExtensionMultistate-2005.pdf:application/pdf},
}

@article{ch2018_project_team_ch2018_2018,
	title = {{CH}2018 - Climate Scenarios for Switzerland},
	url = {https://www.nccs.admin.ch/nccs/de/home/klimawandel-und-auswirkungen/schweizer-klimaszenarien/ch2018---klimaszenarien-fuer-die-schweiz.html},
	doi = {10.18751/Climate/Scenarios/CH2018/1.0},
	journaltitle = {National Centre for Climate Services},
	author = {"{CH}2018 Project Team", ""},
	date = {2018},
}

@article{hille_are_nodate,
	title = {Are females climate change losers? A fourty years study of local apparent survival in the Snowfinch Montifringilla nivalis nivalis},
	author = {Hille, Sabine M. and Aichhorn, Ambros and Zauner, Severin and Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi},
}

@article{niffenegger_how_nodate,
	title = {How temperature shapes the start, end and duration of the breeding season},
	author = {Niffenegger, Carole A. and Schano, Christian and Korner-Nievergelt, Fränzi},
}